π The Funnel Challenge
OC Reverse Funnel: Target vs Reality
The Monthly Gap
Why Google Ads Alone Can't Close the Gap
Bottom line: Scaling either channel 4-5Γ isn't realistic. We need new channels with higher intent and better economics.
π Channel Expansion Plan
Premium estate work routes through trust channels β fiduciaries, attorneys, move managers β not Google searches. Here's the plan to build those channels.
Fiduciary Partner Network
Trustees, executors, and probate attorneys control premium estate decisions. Build a referral pipeline through these gatekeepers.
- β’ Elder law / probate attorneys
- β’ Professional fiduciaries
- β’ Trust officers at banks
- β’ Estate planning attorneys
Premium competitors (Comprehensive Estate Liquidations, CA Estate Sales & Auction) explicitly cite fiduciary relationships as their primary source. This is how high-value estates route.
Senior Move Manager Network
NASMM members help families downsize and transition. They already coordinate estate sales β become their default partner.
- β’ 25-50 move managers across OC/LA ZIPs
- β’ Convert 10-15 into active monthly referrers
- β’ Offer "preferred vendor" status + easy handoff
- β’ Track referrals β opps β wins by partner
Move managers already expect to coordinate estate sale assistance via partner connections. TLH becomes the default if the process is easy and outcomes are consistent.
Micro-Geo Direct Mail
Target high-value homeowners directly with tactile mail. Narrow and repeated in premium ZIPs, not broad saturation.
- β’ Property value $1M+
- β’ Ownership tenure 10+ years
- β’ Age proxy: 65+ household
- β’ 2-4 micro-geos, 500 homes each
Use tactile/interactive formats (USPS promotions), QR tracking, call tracking. Pair with retargeting so mail-driven curiosity doesn't leak to competitors.
Nextdoor (LA Only)
74% of Nextdoor members are homeowners. Didn't work in OC β test in LA with authority content, not lead-gen ads.
- β’ Affluent LA neighborhoods only
- β’ Educational "authority" posts, not promos
- β’ Neighborhood sponsorship format
- β’ 90-day test with clear success metrics
OC Nextdoor didn't convert. LA is a different market with different dynamics β worth testing before ruling out entirely.
Strategic RE Team Partnerships
Agents listing inherited/estate properties need contents cleared fast. The "golden ring" bundle: estate sale + cash offer on the home.
- β’ Probate/trust sale specialists
- β’ Senior real estate specialists (SRES)
- β’ High-volume listing agents in target ZIPs
- β’ Teams with 55+ client focus
"We clear the contents, you list the home. Or: we buy the home too β estate sale bundling discount, no commissions, close in 14 days."
Streaming Audio / Podcasts
75% of podcast listeners trust hosts. Use audio for upper-funnel trust building, then capture with retargeting.
- β’ Target 55+ in OC/LA metros
- β’ "How to settle an estate" messaging
- β’ Spotify demographic + location targeting
- β’ Pair with brand search defense
High-trust medium for complex decisions. Not last-click β builds familiarity so when they DO search, they search for TLH.
π Competitive Context: How Premium Competitors Win
At the $15K+ estate tier, the competitive set isn't "weekend estate sale companies" β it's high-touch liquidation firms that emphasize discretion, fiduciary relationships, and multi-channel asset disposition.
"Premier estate liquidation advisory" β engages trustees, executors, fiduciaries directly.
35+ years, international clientele, Newport Beach estates. Multi-channel liquidation.
Full-service liquidation + licensed RE broker. Direct competitor to TLH's bundle.
TLH's Differentiation
TLH can match the bundle (estate sale + cash offer) and beat on speed/certainty. The gap is channel access β getting in front of the right decision-makers before they find competitors through fiduciary networks.
π Supporting Data
Win Rates by Channel (SeptβJan)
Lead β Opp Conversion by Channel
Market Position (EstateSales.net Data)
| Region | TLH Sales/mo | Total Market | TLH Share | Grasons Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | ~8 | ~50 | 16% | 2% | 10 (20%) |
| Orange County | ~2 | ~42 | 5% | 25% | 6 (14%) |
| Los Angeles | ~2 | ~100 | 2% | 10% | 6 (6%) |
π Summary
The Problem
- β’ Whole funnel constrained β not enough meetings
- β’ PMAX: cheap volume, low quality (4.8% opp rate)
- β’ Search: better quality, can't scale enough
- β’ Google Ads alone won't close the gap
The Plan
- β’ Priority 1: Fiduciary + Move Manager partnerships
- β’ Priority 2: Direct mail in premium ZIPs, RE team partnerships
- β’ Test: Nextdoor in LA, streaming audio
- β’ Keep PMAX running β it drives activity while we build new channels
Premium estates route through trust channels, not Google searches. Build the partner network, win the premium segment.